The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway in 6 pm ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 betting odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) are not too far behind in what’s going to be the greatest race of this year.
Nick Giffen utilizes his statistical model to handicap the four greatest futures betting values from the race.
For the second consecutive weekend, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing at Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). But this time rather than an All-Star shootout, motorists ‘ are in for a grueling 600 miles from the Cup Series’ longest race of this year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oblong with a relatively old surface which has been repaved back in 2006. We saw in the All-Star race which tires did make a difference and track position was also extremely significant, therefore this race ought to provide a good blend of multiple 1.5-mile tracks.
The latest 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race in Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five at average green-flag rate all showed up in the top nine at 15-lap speed in Happy Hour, despite the race being during the night and final practice throughout the day.
We have a similar situation at Charlotte this weekend, so I’ll certainly rely on long-haul pace in addition to 1.5-mile performance this season and beyond Charlotte oval performance when handicapping the race.
Equipped with all these data points, let’s get right to my favorite bets to win tonight’s race, also bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A quick primer on the chances under: A $100 bet at +375 odds would profit $375, while a $200 bet at -200 chances would cover $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Win
Kyle Busch is the favorite as a result of his exceptional speed in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this year. But, it might be argued that Harvick ought to be a co-favorite despite finishing only 13th on the 10-lap plank in closing practice.
That’s because in opening practice, he was considerably better relative to the remainder of the field over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time during the cooler temperatures is encouraging. Actually, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers stated the cars are extremely sensitive to track changes, which they were really good in opening clinic throughout the warmer temperatures.
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